The 1.5°C goal of the Paris Agreement is no longer viable
Points and comments are a snapshot, not live.
UNEP declares the Paris Agreement's 1.5°C goal no longer achievable.
The UNEP's 2026 Emissions Gap Report states the 1.5°C target is now unattainable, with exceeding it imminent. The new goal is to cap warming below 2°C and return to 1.5°C by 2100. To achieve this, emissions must drop 18% by 2030 and 45% by 2035 from 2025 levels, but current NDC pledges only reduce 5-8% by 2030. Recommended actions include tripling renewables by 2035, phasing down coal 55%, oil 15%, and gas 5% by 2035, and removing 320 gigatons of CO2 by century's end.
What commenters are saying
Frustration and skepticism dominate. Several commenters argue night trains are economically uncompetitive due to jet fuel tax exemptions and lower passenger capacity per carriage. One camp criticizes Europe's strategy, prioritizing hydrogen and carbon capture over proven solutions like heat pumps and EV bans. Another thread notes China's internal coal dependence complicates its emissions picture. A fatalist view calls humanity's squabbles a 'Great Filter' that will destroy the material basis for survival.